Here’s a detailed analysis of the impact of global...

Here’s a detailed analysis of the impact of global wars and geopolitical tensions on the Indian share market in the last quarter (March to May 2025): 🌍 Key Global Conflicts (Last Quarter) 1. Russia–Ukraine War (Ongoing) Continued tension in Eastern Europe, but no major escalation in the last quarter. Led to supply chain stress in metals, energy, and fertilizers. 2. Israel–Iran Escalation (April 2025) Major missile strikes and counterattacks in April created panic. Triggered fears of disruption in oil supplies from the Middle East. Gold prices spiked; crude oil touched $92/barrel temporarily. 3. Red Sea Shipping Threat (Houthi Attacks/Yemen Conflict) Commercial shipping disrupted. Indian importers faced increased freight costs, affecting automobile, pharma, and electronics sectors. 📉 IMPACT ON INDIAN SHARE MARKET (NIFTY/SENSEX) 📆 March 2025 Stable month overall. Nifty ~21, 950 to 22, 250 range. Investors focused on RBI policy, earnings season started. 📆 April 2025 (High Volatility) Israel-Iran crisis caused: Stock market dip: Nifty fell ~2.5% in early April. Sectors hit: Aviation, Oil marketing companies (OMCs), Auto due to rising crude oil prices. Safe-haven flows: IT, Pharma, Gold-related stocks gained. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) pulled out ₹7, 000 crore+ in April due to global fear. 📆 May 2025 Market stabilized. Strong domestic earnings from Reliance, TCS, and banks helped markets recover. Nifty closed near 22, 600, Sensex around 75, 000+ by end-May. FIIs turned net buyers in the last week of May, sensing bottoming out. 📊 SECTOR-WISE IMPACT Sector Impact Reason Oil & Gas Negative (Apr) Brent crude volatility Automobile Mild Negative Higher input & logistics cost IT & Pharma Positive Safe haven sectors, global demand Defense & Infra Positive Gov’t push + strategic importance during wars Banking & Finance Neutral–Positive Domestic confidence stayed strong 🔮 Outlook Ahead (Next Quarter) Geopolitical resolution in the Middle East could calm markets. Domestic factors like monsoon forecast, RBI policy, and earnings will be more dominant. FII inflows are expected to return as global uncertainties ease.